Burak Güneralp

Selected Publications

• Güneralp B, Z Yuyu, D Ürge-Vorsatz, M Gupta, S Yu, P Patel, M Fragkias, X Li, and KC Seto. Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050. 2017. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (published online before print). Link
• Yi H, B Güneralp, A M Filippi, U Kreuter, İ Güneralp. 2017. Impacts of land change on ecosystem services in the San Antonio River Basin, Texas, from 1984 to 2010. Ecological Economics 135: 125-135. Link
• You M, AM Filippi, İ Güneralp, and B Güneralp. 2017. What is the direction of land change?: A new approach to land-change analysis. Remote Sensing 9(8): 850. Link
• Bai X, A Surveyer, T Elmqvist, FW Gatzweiler, B Güneralp, S Parnell, A-H Prieur-Richard, P Shrivastava, JG Siri, M Stafford-Smith, J-P Toussaint, and R Webb. 2016. Defining and advancing a systems approach for sustainable cities. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 23: 69-78. Link
• Güneralp B, İ Güneralp and Y Liu. 2015. Changing global patterns of urban exposure to flood and drought hazards. Global Environmental Change 31: 217-225. Link
• Conde D, F Colchero, B Güneralp, M Gusset, B Skolnik, M Parr, O Byers, K Johnson, G Young, N Flesness, H. Possingham and JE Fa. 2015. Opportunities and costs for preventing vertebrate extinctions. Current Biology 25(6): R219-R221. Link
• Güneralp B, AS Perlstein and KC Seto. 2015. Balancing urban growth and ecological conservation: A challenge for planning and governance in China. Ambio 44(6): 532-543. Link
• McDonald R, B Güneralp, W Zipperer and PJ Marcotullio. 2014. The future of global urbanization and the environment. Solutions 5(6): 60-69. Link
• Dhakal S, KC Seto; A Bigio, H Blanco, GC Delgado, D Dewar, L Huang, A Inaba, A Kansal, S Lwasa, J McMahon, D Mueller, J Murakami, H Nagendra, A Ramaswami; B Güneralp (contributing author) et al. 2014. Chapter 12: Human Settlements, Infrastructure and Spatial Planning in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change, Fifth Assessment Report, Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Geneva, Switzerland. Link
• Güneralp B, KC Seto, and M Ramachandran. 2013. Evidence of urban land teleconnections and impacts on hinterlands. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(5): 445-451. Link
• Duer-Balkind M, KR Jacobs, B Güneralp and X Basurto. 2013. Resilience, social-ecological rules, and environmental variability in a two-species artisanal fishery. Ecology & Society 18(4): 50 Link
• Güneralp B and KC Seto. 2013. Futures of global urban expansion: uncertainties and implications for biodiversity conservation Environmental Research Letters 8: 014025. Link Download the Individual Forecasts of Urban Expansion in the Biodiversity Hotspots
• Güneralp B, M Reilly and KC Seto. 2012. Capturing multiscalar feedbacks in urban land change: a coupled system dynamics spatial logistic approach. Environment and Planning B 39(5): 858-879. Link
• Seto KC, B Güneralp and LR Hutyra. 2012. Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109(40): 16083-16088. Link   Download the Probabilistic Urban Forecast Data
• Güneralp B and KC Seto. 2012. Can gains in efficiency offset the resource demands and CO₂ emissions from constructing and operating the built environment? Applied Geography 32(1): 40-50. Link
• Seto KC, M Fragkias, B Güneralp and M Reilly. 2011. A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion. PLoS ONE 6(8): e23777. Link
• Güneralp B and KC Seto. 2008. Environmental impacts of urban growth from an integrated dynamic perspective: a case study of Shenzhen, South China. Global Environmental Change 18(4): 720-735. Link
• Güneralp B. 2007. An improved formal approach to demographic loop analysis. Ecology 88(8): 2124-2131 Link Download the DLA Tool
• Güneralp B. 2006. Towards coherent loop dominance analysis: progress in eigenvalue elasticity analysis. System Dynamics Review 22(3): 263-289. Link
• Güneralp B. and Y Barlas. 2003. Dynamic modelling of a shallow freshwater lake for ecological and economic sustainability. Ecological Modelling 167(1-2): 115-138. Link